Cover
Prediction Markets by State
Not a sportsbook. Not a wallet. Not a partner desk. Start with your state. Then the venue.
- 50 written notes
- As of Sep 2026
- Cents / $0–$1
- The app's own eligibility screen is final
Dated snapshot · comparison listing · no wallet · methodology
Where sports contracts and other markets differ, the color follows sports contracts. Open the state note for both.
- Available
- Restricted
- Check status
- No data
50 written guides. Colors are a dated snapshot — click any state to read the note.
Featured states
Five large-state notes
The index holds 50 written guides. These five are the ones people ask about first. Same dated labels.
California
California can often reach designated event contracts on venues that list the state. A sportsbook-branded prediction app is a different product.
Read the California noteNew York
A contract that trades nationally can still vanish at the Hudson.
Read the New York noteTexas
No statewide sports book. FanDuel Predicts (sports contracts) and DraftKings Predictions both list Texas.
Read the Texas noteFlorida
Some federal contracts may open. FanDuel Predicts (sports contracts) and DraftKings Predictions both list Florida.
Read the Florida noteIllinois
Several national venues list Illinois. Still product-by-product. Still not our account.
Read the Illinois noteNo side. We date the snapshot.
Sourced from public filings, operator terms, and official materials — not from a partner desk.
As of Sep 2026. View methodology
Markets
Eight category guides, one price format
Politics through tech still settle in the same unit: cents, or shares between $0 and $1. Learn and compare only. No wallet, no trade button.
- Illustrative 54¢
Politics
Elections, nominations, and ballot measures — read as cents or $0–$1 shares.
10 venues comparedRead the guide - Illustrative 41¢
Sports
Championships and awards on event-contract platform types — not the same map as sportsbooks.
9 venues comparedRead the guide - Illustrative 62¢
Mentions
Will a name appear in a defined source during a defined window? Resolution is a text rule.
Comparison venues varyRead the guide - Illustrative 42¢
Economics
Rates, inflation, jobs, and official prints — event contracts on public data.
4 venues comparedRead the guide - Illustrative 62¢
Entertainment
Awards, box office, and culture outcomes — still quoted in cents.
6 venues comparedRead the guide - Illustrative 54¢
Weather / Climate
Storms, temperature records, and climate-policy prints — rules first, then cents.
1 venue comparedRead the guide - Illustrative 33¢
Crypto
Price-threshold and policy events — distinct from buying the asset itself.
3 venues comparedRead the guide - Illustrative 47¢
Tech & Business
Ship dates, regulatory decisions, and corporate events — still $0–$1 shares.
3 venues comparedRead the guide
Platforms
Three platform types
13 real brands. One row per platform type here — regulated, research, state-licensed. Listing only. We do not invent partnerships.
Kalshi
Check your state
Politics, economics, and other event contracts — USD, CFTC-registered.
RegulatedView
PredictIt
U.S. persons 18+ — no-action market
Political event contracts under long-running CFTC no-action relief. Not a DCM.
Research / no-actionView
Sporttrade
Not taking bets
Stopped May 25, 2026. Waitlist on its site. CFTC clearing registration October 16, 2026; exchange application still pending.
State-licensedView
Bonuses
Public promos, dated and comparison-only
What operators actually publish — and a plain “none verified” when they don’t. No affiliate codes.
Learn
Five notes, in order
How a 62¢ Yes works, why a sportsbook map is not a prediction map, how we label states, how the platform types differ, then what can go wrong. The full hub has twelve dated explainers.
1
Pricing
How Prediction Market Prices Work (Cents and $0–$1 Shares)
Pay sixty-two cents. If you’re right, you usually get a dollar back before fees. If you’re wrong, you get nothing. That’s the whole machine.
9 min →2
Vs sportsbooks
Event Contracts Vs Sportsbooks: Why the Maps Don’t Always Match
New Jersey has a legal book. FanDuel Predicts does not list New Jersey for sports contracts.
9 min →3
State availability
How to Read Our State Availability Pages
What a state guide contains, and how labels work.
8 min →4
Platform types
Three Platform Types: Regulated, Research, State-Licensed
Kalshi is not Robinhood. PredictIt is not Sporttrade. Same cents format.
9 min →5
Risk
What Can Go Wrong: Fees, Geofences, and Resolution
You can lose the cents you paid. The app can block you. The rule can fail a contract that the headline passed. Read risk before the sample quote.
9 min →